The function logs_nbmix
computes the logarithmic score of forecasts
based on mixtures of negative binomial (or Poisson) distributions via
dnbmix()
. This is different from the kernel density estimation
approach available via scores_sample()
.
logs_nbmix(observed, means, size)
a vector of observed counts during the simulation period.
a n.ahead
x n.sim
matrix of means.
the dispersion parameter of the dnbinom()
distribution
or NULL
(Poisson forecasts). Can also be time-varying (of length
n.ahead
).
a vector of log-scores for the observed
counts.
scores_sample()
for an alternative approach of calculating
the logarithmic score from simulation-based forecasts