Changelog

Source: NEWS.md

HIDDA.forecasting 1.1.2 (2023-11-29)

  • Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages in R 4.3.2 (on a new machine). This only gave minor numerical differences in the long-term forecasts of vignette("CHILI_prophet").

  • Accommodate restricted checks without suggested packages.

HIDDA.forecasting 1.1.1 (2021-03-31)

  • Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages in R 4.0.4, resulting in the following changes:

    • vignette("BNV"): age-specific amplitude-shift parameter transformations were wrong in summary(mg_Cpower); bug fixed in surveillance 1.18.0.

    • surveillance::pit() values for degenerate forecasts with zero probability for observed counts may differ due to a change in surveillance 1.17.1 (they still produce warnings).

    • vignette("CHILI_hhh4"): no rounding of n from 213 to 210 in printed calibrationTest() (a bug fixed in R 3.6.0).

    • vignette("CHILI_prophet"): minor numerical differences in model fit and predictions due to changes in prophet.

HIDDA.forecasting 1.1.0 (2019-03-29)

  • Use standard PIT for continuous forecasts (arima, prophet, naive). Differences to the previously used non-randomized PIT histograms for count data are negligible.

  • Add scores for discretized log-normal forecasts, via new function scores_lnorm_discrete(). These scores are almost identical to the continuous scores, essentially due to the large counts.

  • Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages (forecast 8.5, glarma 1.6.0, hhh4contacts 0.13.0, prophet 0.4, scoringRules 0.9.5, surveillance 1.17.0) in R 3.5.3.

HIDDA.forecasting 1.0.0 (2018-09-04)

  • This is the version used for the book chapter.

  • The contained vignettes have been built using R 3.5.1 with all dependent packages’ versions as of 25 July 2018 from CRAN. The versions of the main packages were: